Report at an International Scientific Conference
Subbotin M.Yu. «Algorithmic short-term trading of exchange-traded assets based on mathematical analysis of their price dynamics» (30 minutes).
The fundamental tools for mathematical analysis of the exchange assets price dynamic, and technical indicators, have been known since the middle of the past century and remain almost intact. But, for short-term and extremely short-term, highfrequency trading, in particular, it is noted in the dissertation of Ph.D. in Economics A.A. Rybakov, “conventional methods of technical analysis do not give a positive result.” However, only the replacement of smoothing by moving average method with cubic spline series smoothing, as shown in publications of Ph.D. of Economics A.V. Pekarskii, already significantly increases the informative value of indicators and the quality of prediction, improves the results of trading activities based on it. Thus, the development of a trading algorithm for short-term trading requires a significant adaptation of existing technical indicators, additional parameters installed in them, and the introduction of new principles and ways of using them. At the same time, the reinvestment of profits from trading activities, a fixed relative value of capital used in each transaction, and a short operating cycle can ensure, in the case of short-term trading, the growth of seed funding exponentially with an annual yield of hundreds of percent, which is confirmed by backtests of the algorithm developed for training and test period without parameters re-optimization».